Android ascendant on the smartphone, but are tablets another story?

Peter Dockrill
08 April 2011, 5:02 PM


As Android officially outstrips its smartphone competition in the US for the first time, underwhelming Motorola Xoom adoption tells a different tale for Honeycomb.


Google's success in the smartphone arena shows no sign of abating, but as Android celebrates its achievement in attaining the highest percentage share of smartphone subscribers in the US for the first time, lower (and slower) than expected sales for Motorola's Xoom tablet stateside (which features Android's tablet OS, Honeycomb) indicate how distinct the smartphone and tablet markets are - and demonstrate that Android's seemingly unstoppable growth does not yet extend beyond the smartphone sector.


Android, on the smartphone at least, shows no signs of slowing down. (Credit: comScore)

Last week market researcher comScore released its latest quarterly mobile market share figures, revealing that Android, for the first time, is the dominant smartphone platform in the US. Over the period December 2010 to February 2011, Android's share of the smartphone market grew to 33% (up 7%), knocking BlackBerry off its perch to 28.9% (down 4.6%). Apple's iPhone remained fairly steady in third place at 25.2% (up just .2%), with Microsoft and Palm both losing moderate ground to hold 7.7% and 2.8% respectively.

Going off these numbers, it seems one in every three smartphone users in the States is currently using Android, and that figure is still growing (and then some). Indeed, if you look at the trajectory in the graph above (based on the same comScore data, but running January 2010 through January 2011), Android's smartphone growth doesn't look like stopping (or even slowing) any time soon. But while Google may be celebrating these figures, another set of numbers is giving Android cause for concern.

Reports of initial disappointing sales for Motorola's Xoom tablet, the first (and still only) US tablet to run Android's tablet-tailored 3.0 Honeycomb software, suggest that Google may have to be patient if it's hoping for a repeat performance in the tablet market. Deutsche Bank is claiming that only 100,000 Xoom units have been sold since the device's launch on February 24. Whilst that's a generally admirable effort for a new consumer gadget, it contrasts sharply with the original iPad's early sales achievements: 300,000 on day one, 500,000 in the first week, one million by the 28th day (you get the picture). And the iPad 2 is selling at an even faster rate than its predecessor.


Movement amongst the top five smartphone platforms in the US. (Credit: comScore)

To be fair, Motorola's lower than hoped for sales with the Xoom to this point don't necessarily signify that it's a failure (for either Motorola or Android). And given so many other tablets featuring Android will be released within the next six months, revisiting the figures further down the track will provide a much clearer picture of the tablet OS's vitality (and positioning).

So it's still extremely early days for Android in this landscape; it took Google two and a half years to get where it is today in the smartphone market. But these numbers do serve as a startling reminder that, amid all the attention being lavished upon the Android tablet festivities this year, Google still has a long, long way to go in replicating its success against the iPhone (et al) with its foray against the iPad.


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petert (Advanced Forumologist):

Elsewhere I read that Motorola's expectations were sales of 50,000 in the first quarter and 150,000 in the second quarter. One the one had, it could be debated that Motorola sold double its estimate and therefore it is successful. On the other hand, it could be debated that the expectations were very small and ought to have been easily achieved. I wish Xoom success but it has a long way to go to compete with the iPad.

08 April 2011, 6:06 PM (2 years ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Potoroo (User):

Quoting petert:
I wish Xoom success but it has a long way to go to compete with the iPad.


A long way? Honeycomb for the most part craps on iOS4.3, and it's touch and go which minor differences in the respective hardwares matter to people most. The problem for a high-end Android tablet like Xoom is certainly not fundamentally technical - it's that most consumers are stupid.

08 April 2011, 8:22 PM (2 years ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

petert (Advanced Forumologist):

I said nothing about Honeycomb. I referred to Xoom and I was referring to sales numbers. In no way, whatsoever, was I trying to compare iOS to Honeycomb, nor was I attempting to imply that iOS is better in some way than Honeycomb. I am bored with that inane discussion. I wished Xoom success, and I meant it.

BTW, if you think that 15 million sales to 100,000 is close, then I ask you to loan me $15,000. I will of course re-pay you $100 because in your world that would seem to be close enough.

As for your comments that consumers are stupid . . . it's not worth a comment.

08 April 2011, 8:27 PM (2 years ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Potoroo (User):

Quoting petert:
petert I said nothing about Honeycomb. I referred to Xoom and I was referring to sales numbers.


The two are inextricably linked because you can only buy the package. At the hardware level are the Xoom and iPad 2 comparable, with each having minor advantages and disadvantages over the other. At the OS level Honeycomb has it all over iOS4.3 in most areas. But the original iPad wasn't successful because of its technical brilliance - there have been other tablets - it was because of Apple's superb ability to brand themselves as cool and desireable. They don't sell on specs because they know they can only rarely win on that terrain, instead they work tirelessly and cleverly at branding. And consumers fall for it and buy inferior products time and again. That's stupid. But hey! They're happy. Aren't they?

08 April 2011, 9:45 PM (2 years ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

deusexmachina (New user):

Quoting Potoroo:
But the original iPad wasn't successful because of its technical brilliance

Bingo...got it in one...iPad was successful because it was a useful device. An easy way to manage your content and tons of apps to make the device even more useful. It's not about the hardware as you rightly point out, and its not about the OS either (which is where Microsoft continually fail), its about USING content. This is the simple fact that all Apple-haters still don't get. Android will grow and be successful, but without a 'closed' system (and I use that term as an advantage for usability) then you will always have fragmentation and usability issues that frustrate 'normal' users.

After you unbox a Xoom...where is all your music, movies, photos, bookmarks, mail, calendar, contacts ...etc synced in from?

I'm stupid and happy :-)


12 April 2011, 11:16 AM (2 years ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Potoroo (User):

Quoting deusexmachina:
iPad was successful because it was a useful device.


I would add the rider "despite its limitations". The iPad was good enough when there was no competition. The iPad 2 has significant competition along with its significant limitations (ie, no multitasking). On functionality the Honeycomb devices should outsell iPads by a big margin but they won't, at least not for a long time. Too many people will buy iPads because of the label instead of actually thinking.


Quoting deusexmachina:
After you unbox a Xoom...where is all your music, movies, photos, bookmarks, mail, calendar, contacts ...etc synced in from?


I don't have a Xoom. But my smartphone is an HTC and it syncs with Outlook, etc, quite happily out of the box, so its not like no-one in the Android world has never considered the matter.

14 April 2011, 12:50 AM (2 years ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

deusexmachina (New user):

Quoting Potoroo:
Too many people will buy iPads because of the label instead of actually thinking.

Wow you really seriously hate a device that just works. The vast majority of people really don't care what is under the hood, but how you can use it...and even multitask on it (not sure why you say it doesn't multitask???)

And I can also sync my outlook to my iPhone and my iPad, big deal...but what about my music, photos, movies, bookmarks, games, etc which you conveniently forgot to mention and most people are interested in managing. If you only want to sync outlook and do your work on it...then yeah buy something else.


15 April 2011, 10:42 AM (2 years ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Potoroo (User):

Quoting deusexmachina:
Wow you really seriously hate a device that just works

You have seriously low expectations given the arrival of devices that "just work" a whole lot better.

Quoting deusexmachina:
And I can also sync my outlook to my iPhone and my iPad, big deal...but what about my music, photos, movies, bookmarks, games, etc which you conveniently forgot to mention

Actually, I said "Outlook, etc." I have no problems syncing everything I want to sync, and as a bonus I'm not trapped into a control freak's ecosystem that won't let me manage my system the way I want to.

17 April 2011, 3:00 PM (2 years ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Perspectively (New user):

You know what? You're right. Consumers are stupid. This explains why Android phones are so successful! Thanks!






09 April 2011, 12:57 AM (2 years ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

J876 (User):

I had a look at the Android Market the other day and at the moment there are not many apps specifically targeted for tablets. Hopefully we will se some pop up in the next few months.

12 April 2011, 10:44 AM (2 years ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

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