BREAKING NEWS: govt to build $43bn fibre-to-the-home network

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Dan Warne07 April 2009, 10:07 AM

The Government has scrapped the fraught NBN process and will instead build its own 100Mbit/s fibre to the home network to 90% of Australians, within 5-8 years.


Kevin Rudd and Senator Conroy said they had scrapped the request for proposals network for a national fibre-to-the-node network because none of the proposals represented good value for money.

Instead, the government is forming its own company and will pump $43 billion into building what may well be the largest fibre-to-the-home network in the world in geographic terms.

The network will provide speeds of up to 100Mbit/s to 90% of premises in Australia, and will be sold on a wholesale basis only, allowing all ISPs (including Telstra) to compete on an even footing at retail.

Despite having axed the Howard government's OPEL WiMax network, the Government says it will roll out something very similar for the 10% of premises it won't be able to reach with fibre-to-the-home, offering speeds of 12Mbit/s.

And oddly, despite scrapping its RFP process, it has accepted one of the bids -- from the Tasmanian Government -- to build a fibre-to-the-node plus wireless network in Tasmania, which may result in Tasmanians getting second-class broadband.

The government says the network will be the "single largest nation building infrastructure project in Australian history", employing 25,000 people for up to eight years, with a peak employment of 37,000 people at once.

Although the Government says it will be the majority shareholder of the new company, it says it expects significant private investment in the company too -- and that it will sell the company off to private interests five years after the network is fully built -- expected to be no earlier than 2022.

The massive cost of the network build will be financed through the existing Building Australia Fund and the issuance of Aussie Infrastructure Bonds (AIBs), which the Government says will provide an opportunity for households and institutions to invest in the national broadband network.

Network specifications

(As provided by the Government)

The new network will:

  • connect homes, schools and workplaces with optical fibre (fibre to the premise or ‘FTTP’), providing broadband services to Australians in urban and regional towns with speeds of 100 megabits per second - 100 times faster than those currently used by most people – extending to towns with a population of around 1,000 or more
  • use wireless and satellite technologies that will be able to deliver 12 megabits per second or more to people living in more remote parts of rural Australia
  • provide fibre optic transmission links connecting cities, major regional centres and rural towns
  • be Australia’s first national wholesale-only, open access broadband network
  • be built and operated on a commercial basis by a company established at arm’s length from Government and involve private sector investment
  • be expected to be rolled-out, simultaneously, in metropolitan, regional, and rural areas.
  • Every person and business in Australia, no-matter where they are located, will have access to affordable, fast broadband at their fingertips.

Non-core promises

The Government's press release includes a few "outs" to give it wriggle-room down the track:

"The preliminary estimate is that the enhanced NBN network will cost up to $43 billion, which has been developed taking into account advice from specialist technical advisers.

"The Government’s objective is to achieve 90 per cent coverage of the FTTP network, and remaining coverage to be delivered through wireless and satellite technologies, within this funding envelope. Initial advice to the Government is that this objective is achievable, but this estimate will be subject to an implementation study.

The Government's to-do list

This is what the Government says it will do now to get the rollout rolling:

  • Commence an implementation study to determine the operating arrangements, detailed network design, ways to attract private sector investment – for roll-out early 2010, and ways to provide procurement opportunities for local businesses
  • Fast-track negotiations with the Tasmanian Government, as recommended by the Panel of Experts, to build upon its NBN proposal to begin the rollout a FTTP network and next generation wireless services in Tasmania as early as July – an immediate start on a nation-wide investment.
  • Implement measures to address ‘black spots’ through the timely rollout of fibre optic transmission links connecting cities, major regional centres and rural towns - delivering improvements to telecommunication services in the short term.
  • Progress legislative changes that will govern the national broadband network company and facilitate the rollout of fibre networks, including requiring greenfields developments to use FTTP technology from 1 July 2010.
  • Make an initial investment in the network of $4.7 billion.
  • Commence a consultative process on necessary changes to the existing telecommunications regulatory regime.

Impacts to consider

Although the announcement of a national fibre-to-the-home network with speeds of 100Mbit/s is undoubtedly very good news, there are some negative impacts to consider:

  • Today is the day companies like Internode and iiNet learn that their investments in rolling out ADSL2+ networks will become worthless within five years (though the Government hasn't said that the FTTH network will prevent copper from continuing to operate -- and ADSL2+ ISPs may therefore be able to continue offering ADSL2+ at cheap prices to people who don't see the need to upgrade to FTTH)
  • If you're an investor in Telstra shares, they may never recover from where they are now -- Telstra's primary power in the market, its vice-like control of the copper phone line network, will become completely irrelevant once the FTTH network is rolled out.
  • Modem/routers will become just routers in Australia, as the Government will undoubtedly be using its own standardised fibre termination equipment in homes, providing an Ethernet feed to the house.
  • Given the government will control the central network that everyone will be reselling from, it will be much easier for them to implement a centralised internet filtering/censorship system.
You can read more about the network at the Government's FTTH information website.

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TV Bis (User):

It's rumoured that the company that was close to winning the contract is Chinese owned and was going to use its own proprietary equipment.
Could not see how the Government could let this go ahead knowing too well that a backdoor would surly be included just so foreign ears and eyes could monitor the entire Australian network.

Also Telstra owns the copper and the ducts and will most likely sue the Government if there is no fee given to Telstra for them having to pull out the wire etc.


07 April 2009, 10:25 AM (7 months ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Raindog (Senior Forumologist):

Quoting TV Bis:
Also Telstra owns the copper and the ducts and will most likely sue the Government if there is no fee given to Telstra for them having to pull out the wire etc.

But the nation own the footpaths, roadways, easements etc that the Telstra cableways reside on. If Telstra wishes to apply a Tax to consumers it is wholly reasonable that a lease or rates be charged to Telstra for the land on which they occupy. All of which could be retrospective if required.



07 April 2009, 10:37 AM (7 months ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Dan Warne (Administrator):

I don't think duct access will be a problem for the federal government... remember, it has the power to make laws! Plus, it could always go down the route of stringing fibre along overhead poles (though I think from a network durability perspective this probably would be less favoured than underground.)

07 April 2009, 11:11 AM (7 months ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Raindog (Senior Forumologist):

Quoting Dan Warne:
I don't think duct access will be a problem for the federal government.

Access has been the major sticking point against a competitive and level playing field.

Government doesn't run any other enterprise well, what makes these clowns think they can run a cutting edge network?
Quoting Dan Warne:
remember, it has the power to make laws!

And all any sensible government has to do is to make and apply such laws, it's all that needed to allow private enterprise to facilitate a world class network.
The only place for government participation is to provide incentives and subsidisation towards some level of reasonable access to more sparsely populated areas. (read rural towns not fibre to the hay-shed)




07 April 2009, 12:12 PM (7 months ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Jarrod Spiga (User):

Quoting Dan Warne:
Plus, it could always go down the route of stringing fibre along overhead poles (though I think from a network durability perspective this probably would be less favoured than underground.)

Not necessarily. A lot of Optus' HFC network (consisting of fibre and co-ax) is strung up across power poles. If memory serves me correctly, they only rolled cable under ground where there were no existing power poles (except for in a couple of council areas where there were court cases against the unsightly-ness of the cables supposedly reducing house values).

07 April 2009, 1:42 PM (7 months ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

gankul (Cornerstone member):

IF you read the docco on the Goverment website, they are more then considering putting them on existing power poles.

07 April 2009, 5:03 PM (7 months ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Tin (Senior Forumologist):

Towns of 1000 or more... Woohoo. I'm back in! I always thought 90% was pretty much limited to capital cities and a few major regional cities. I guess I was wrong.

Pity it's at least 5 years away now.

07 April 2009, 10:54 AM (7 months ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Raindog (Senior Forumologist):

Quoting Tin:
I guess I was wrong.

Only if you voted for these fools!


07 April 2009, 11:09 AM (7 months ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

agami (User):

Nothing would make me more proud to be an Australian than the realisation of this project.

As far as ISP's investing in ADSL2+ infrastructure, I know Internode's model is "install a DSLAM where it can be payed-off within 24 months" and whilst other ISPs/Telcos would have other models, none of them would put the company way out on a limb. Even investments in DSLAMs and backhaul going in today will be recouped in 5-8 years.

07 April 2009, 10:56 AM (7 months ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Raindog (Senior Forumologist):

This whole NBN is a cock up of galactic proportions.

The start-up a year away.
The end date at best a guess.
Estimated costing ten times that put to the public during 07.
No suggestion as to what affordable will be. (who pays for all the Government input)
100M quoted maximum speed for all this input, hell I can get 20M now.

The whole costing completion will make construction of the Opera House look like a well run project.
These cowboys don't have a clue. The Wimax that they cancelled an reneged on contracts for, would have been running now. It's unlikely rural and regional Australia will see anything before at least 2015. The promises are as hollow as the costings done.

WiMax wasn't any kind of ultimate solution but it was a solution, Kev & Steve's Bogus National Network will be nothing but a problem.

07 April 2009, 11:01 AM (7 months ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

agami (User):

Jaded much?

07 April 2009, 11:30 AM (7 months ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Raindog (Senior Forumologist):

Long time jaded! Jaded with the decisions of fools empowered by the votes of other fools so stupid the can't even see what's in their own interest!

Yes jaded much!

07 April 2009, 12:14 PM (7 months ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

The Big Baboo (Advanced Forumologist):

Quoting Raindog:
Replying to
Raindog


Quoting Raindog:
This whole NBN is a cock up of galactic proportions. The start-up a year away. The end date at best a guess. Estimated costing ten times that put to the public during 07.

Hiya Raindog :) Did you guys see on the news the other night where our
Federal Opposition said there was no way they would support this plan in it's current form. Kinda makes you wonder whether "pollies" do things for us people or maybe just to make it look they're doing something for us people. Anyway,as you said on here. "It'll probably work well if you're in the city but woe to those poor people out in the bush"




09 April 2009, 3:03 PM (7 months ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Phred (Regular user):

Telstra could sell the abandoned copper cable to prop up it's share price

07 April 2009, 11:13 AM (7 months ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Tin (Senior Forumologist):

At the rate they are going, they might be best to turn themselves into a scrap metal merchant...

07 April 2009, 12:17 PM (7 months ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Aubrey (Advanced member):

"Commence a consultative process on necessary changes to the existing telecommunications regulatory regime"

Ahh, the devil in the detail! Watch out Telstra (and its shareholders).

Actually, I think pulling the plug on the tender is a good idea. It seemed to be going nowhere and Telstra were poised to sue whatever the result. Now everyone has to rethink their strategies.

I've never been a big fan of Government owned enterprises but the model proposed seems like a "least worst" scenario given the uncertainty and the need for a massive overhaul of infrastructure. Let's hope they can future-proof the installation so we aren't on a treadmill and have to start all over again just as the lines open for business. I'm sure that in 5 years we'll be saying "What? ONLY 100Mbit/s ?".

07 April 2009, 11:16 AM (7 months ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Raindog (Senior Forumologist):

Quoting Aubrey:
Ahh, the devil in the detail! Watch out Telstra (and its shareholders).

That detail is looking like it will give Telstra yet another go. The Rudd rhetoric of fair competition will end much like the recent employment services contracts. Where many of the best performers were denied further contracts without explanation or justification.


07 April 2009, 12:30 PM (7 months ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Pauly (Regular user):

Raindog you whinge like a pom but im yet to hear how you would do this differently? Are you saying that FTTN was the best idea? Or dont do anything and save our pennies?
You and the liberals dont seem to have heard of "you have to spend money to make money" the government may not make all the investment back directly but what about the billions of extra tax that they will earn from companies that will be earning more international dollars?

08 April 2009, 5:49 PM (7 months ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Raindog (Senior Forumologist):

Quoting Pauly:
Raindog you whinge like a pom

and your mother wears army boots, now back to the topic at hand.


Quoting Pauly:
Are you saying that FTTN was the best idea? Or don't do anything and save our pennies?

Neither of those!


Quoting Pauly:
You and the liberals don't seem to have heard of "you have to spend money to make money"

No you have to invest money to make money, spend it and it's gone forever.


Quoting Pauly:
the government may not make all the investment back directly

Or any of it! The likely scenario is this will be very cost negative without proper planing and costing.


Quoting Pauly:
but what about the billions of extra tax that they will earn from companies that will be earning more international dollars?

Ok, where is the business model for that? Where are the forward projections? You cant responsively spend $50M on a hunch.

Get one thing straight I am not against using the most advanced technology we can, and I do believe we have been hamstrung by a series of bad decision including some from the previous government.
But I am yet to be convinced our governments of any persuasion are capable of profitably undertaking large works programs.
Quote me some recent success stories of projects that government did cheaper than private enterprise could?

The Telstra bottleneck could have been solved both both this government and the previous one, but that hasn't happened. Only fools announce their commitment before having done any real planning towards that commitment. The quoted $50B is more likely to be $250B before contracts are completed.



08 April 2009, 8:00 PM (7 months ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

gankul (Cornerstone member):

Sounds great, unfortunatly, im slightly, well largely, nervous whenever a govement announces a hugely expensive plan that will run longer then their term.

Maybe its because i live in NSW where every plan gets cancelled, released, cancelled costing millions without anything being done.

Or maybe its more to do with the fact that they are more then likely going to go with the cheapest contractor with the cheapest parts, and so cost will be overblown, large delays, and by the time its implimented, half wil need to be rpaired again.

But hey, i will be happy to be wrong this time

07 April 2009, 1:25 PM (7 months ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Michael J (Cornerstone member):

yay! I only just got satellite broadband yesterday! I live in one hell of a hole!

07 April 2009, 7:02 PM (7 months ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Pauly (Regular user):

One last thing.
Did the government build the train lines to make money? Or the original copper lines? Im sure plenty of people said that they were happy to send letters rather than you that new fandangled telephone thingy. Fact is its needed, it will never be a waste of money, its not a stop gap. it would be nice if they use existing optic fibre privately owned but if it costs the same to build it as it does to buy it then build it, make more jobs from it, then collect 50% of it back in taxes

09 April 2009, 1:36 PM (7 months ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Raindog (Senior Forumologist):

Quoting Pauly:
Did the government build the train lines to make money?

I think you find that Government had expected rail to be a paying and self supporting concern.


Quoting Pauly:
Or the original copper lines?

Sure did! And for most of last century, those now maligned copper pairs were a huge revenue source, as well as the PMG/Telecom/Telecom Australia/Telstra being one of the largest free range sheltered workshops on the planet.


Quoting Pauly:
Im sure plenty of people said that they were happy to send letters rather than you that new fandangled telephone thingy.

Triple-O emergency letters were never a success, do a little historical research and see how long it took for a government enterprise to extend the service into rural and remote regions.


Quoting Pauly:
Fact is its needed, it will never be a waste of money, its not a stop gap.

There is no doubt on the need for improved and affordable telephony. The doubt is whether provisioning such a service as a government enterprise will be efficient or affordable.


Quoting Pauly:
but if it costs the same to build it as it does to buy it then build it, make more jobs from it, then collect 50% of it back in taxes

That's some bizarre logic, how does shelving up to date technology benefit anyone? 50% cost funded from a tax slug (oh joy), where does the other 50% required come from?

As for the employment created, consider the cable TV roll-out as a good analogy. A good few jobs were created for that, how many of those jobs are sustained to this day?



09 April 2009, 2:46 PM (7 months ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Michael J (Cornerstone member):

yay! I only just got satellite broadband yesterday! I live in one hell of a hole!

07 April 2009, 7:02 PM (7 months ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

McBanjo (User):

As much as I hate K Rudd, I like this plan. Have they considered though, that the links to overseas are the bottlenecks in this situation? I'm on 24Mbit/s, but nothing other than my ISP server or local australian content (eg. ABC iView) gets even close to that speed. I know this is built with businesses in mind, but justifying $50 billion is going to need convincing of the Australian public that they can actual download from YouTube faster.

08 April 2009, 10:03 AM (7 months ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Aubrey (Advanced member):

There are several new, faster cables going into the water right now and the barriers to laying new ones as needed are reducing all the time.

I've seen a lot of commentary (check out the ABC Web Site) critical of the Government over the lack of cost (really price) estimates or a "proper" business case. While there is still some detail lacking on this proposal, I think goverments must invest as if the country was the "business" and that business has a future.

The total returns from a project such as this actually include the increase in total business activity (and therefore tax receipts) that will come when we have true connectivity. Most commentators seem to think those things are external to the business case wheras they are actually fundamental. 100Mbit/s would remove many barriers to investment - including by creating opportunities for Australia to host world wide media services and business processing. Individual private investors can't capture those benefits so will always fall short of a comprehensive solution (or seek to have the government regulate and subsidise their industry so they can charge more and avoid competition).

The more I read and think about this plan, the more sense it makes. We have missed a large number of "nation building" infrastructure opportunities over the past 20 years (remember the Very Fast Train?) because previous governments (of both polical persuasions) acted more like suburban small business accountants and less like national governments.

(Apologies to suburban small businesses and their accountants. You are doing a great job. Really. I just don't want you running the country. Or your solicitors for that matter. Oops, too late!)

08 April 2009, 3:39 PM (7 months ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

The Big Baboo (Advanced Forumologist):

Quoting Aubrey:
Most commentators seem to think those things are external to the business case whereas they are actually fundamental. 100Mbit/s would remove many barriers to investment - including by creating opportunities for Australia to host world wide media services and business processing.

Hey Aubrey :) The little tv's on the taskbar tell me I get 100Mbits/sec
now and that's without Kev's brand new plan which I'm eagerly waiting to see get off the ground. Ooooo and by the way :( No one is investing anything with me at the moment but that's ok coz I'm retired :)




09 April 2009, 3:09 PM (7 months ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

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