Cheaper iPhone, iPods will dominate market

Danny Gorog
09 September 2007, 9:28 PM


ANALYSIS |If you missed the news last week, alongside an entire refresh of the iPod line-up, Apple also slashed the price of the iPhone by 33% to $399.


If you missed the news last week, alongside an entire refresh of the iPod line-up, Apple also slashed the price of the iPhone by 33% to $399.

Over the course of the week, this news plus a general slide in the NASDAQ sent Apple shares down about 9%. It would be easy to argue that the opposite should have happened. With a refreshed iPod lineup and aggressive iPhone pricing Apple shares should have gone up because these two pieces of news are incredibly important to Apple's future growth.

Firstly, the new iPod lineup is the best iPod range Apple has ever had -- and apart from the continued lack of FM Radio and Voice Recorder -- puts every other digital music player on the market to shame. Before this week's announcement the iPod was still the undisputed leader in terms of user interface, design and accessibility. In typical Apple style, they've made their best products look seemingly old with this refresh. You'd be brave to bet against the iPod being atop of the Amazon best seller list this Christmas.

Interestingly, all the new iPods, except for the Shuffle, play video and support video out. Now that all new iPod owners can view video, and Apple has successfully launched their Apple TV 'hobby' perhaps now is the time to role out a new movie rental service?

However, the more important and frankly more exciting news to come out of last weeks announcement was the price cut of the 8GB iPhone from $599 to $399.

Regardless of the pain existing iPhone buyers felt when they heard about the price cut (and then the comfort when they heard they'd get $100 back) this is great news for the iPhone as a platform.

Apple's price cutting practice, while heavily criticised by the press, is not dissimilar to others in the IT industry. The NY Times put the price drop in context: Motorola, for instance, introduced the ultra-thin Razr phone for $499 with a two-year service contract in early 2005. Six months later, Motorola realized it had a hit on its hands and dropped the price to $199 in an effort to aim at more mainstream buyers. By the end of 2005, the price was $99.

At $599 the iPhone was one of the most expensive smart phones on the market. More expensive than a Treo, and more expensive than a Blackberry. At $399 however it's one of the least expensive. That, coupled with the fact that the iPhone -- with its very high resolution, huge screen, and advanced 3D graphics -- makes other phones look like bricks, and that means that Apple is going to have a runaway success on its hands.

In fact, before the price cut, iSuppli (who surveyed 2 million participants online in the US) announced that the "two models of the iPhone on the market sold more than Research in Motion's Blackberry series, the entire Palm portfolio and any individual smartphone model from Motorola, Nokia or Samsung. Sales equaled those of LG Electronics' Chocolate, the most popular feature phone on the U.S. market."

Another report from compete.com suggests that 8% of consumers said they would be willing to pay for the iPhone at its original price point of $599 while at the $399 price point interest increased to two-and-a-half times to 18%.

An additional indicator that the iPhone is doing well is the availability (although not 'officially' supported by Apple) of third party apps (and these will most likely also function on the new WiFi enabled iPod Touch). Remember, these hacks are less than 2 months old and some already exhibit better fit and finish than Java or Symbian software you'd find on other competing devices.

Lastly, the iPhone price drop, while viewed as a means to increase sales probably indicates a new model is waiting in the wings. If you believe the latest rumour it's going to have HSDPA and 16GB memory. Having experienced what it's like browsing over EDGE on the first-gen iPhone, the upgrade to HSDPA would be a huge improvement.


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Tony:

There is no doubt that Apple have that amazing ability to market a combination of form, function and art that sets a standard none have yat managed to match, even in the short-term. They could really clean up if the next iPhone is simply sold as an unlocked phone, not tied to any supplier. The $399 price point blows away all other "smart" phones.

29 February 2008, 8:32 PM (4 years ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Anonymous1:

This "unlocked iPhone" thing is getting old. Unlocked for what, so I can have the amazing choice of T-Mobile in addition to AT&T? Hope you live in their coverage zone. Plus, there are specific functions, exclusive functions that make the iPhone what it is, that only work because AT&T changed their system in exchange for exclusivity. What's the point of unlocking the phone, again?

29 February 2008, 8:48 PM (4 years ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

APC administrator:

This view that Americans seem to have that no-one lives outside the US is getting tired as well.

29 February 2008, 8:48 PM (4 years ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Anonymousse:

You're right! What about Americans living outside the US!? Expats are important too.

29 February 2008, 8:48 PM (4 years ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Reghart:

Too many of my fellow Americans are arrogant bastards. And they wonder why the rest of the world doesn't like them very much.

29 February 2008, 8:48 PM (4 years ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

davidd:

"puts every other digital music player on the market to shame"

you really need to broaden your horizons.

29 February 2008, 8:32 PM (4 years ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Anonymous8789798798:

Don't get me started.

Name just ONE music player that is better than the latest generation iPod Nano or Classic (let alone the new iPod Touch)?


29 February 2008, 8:48 PM (4 years ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

iPod Owner:

http://www.creative.com/products/product.asp?category=213&subcategory=214&product=15752

If it works as advertised, I would have to say you would get more for your money by purchasing the Zen Vision W than an iPod Touch.
Better is a very broad term depending upon your needs. For me this would be more suitable than the Touch for video viewing due to it's larger storage capacity and number of video codecs. I have no solid info about it's quality or how good the UI is. But on paper it certainly appears better overall if features equal better.

29 February 2008, 8:48 PM (4 years ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Goat Boy:

There have been countless products over the last 5 years that look much better than the iPod -- on paper. THe thing is, that until companies realize that people value integration, simplicity, and usability over being inundated with features, they will continue to fight like remoras over scraps that fall to the side of the big fish in the market.

29 February 2008, 8:48 PM (4 years ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Daan:

Oh i am sure the thing does what it needs to do, but people want more then just some extra storage and power.

There are 150m+ people out there who want to use their current iTunes libraries, they want to sync their content like they used to do and they trust the Apple Brand for it's quality, service and not to forget, it's innovation and the cool factor. They buy music/videos on AAC and H264 and they won't simply give up all that..just to get some Zen Vision W 2000 X whatever..

iPod is the way to go, as you as owner should know ;)

So stop arguing and start buying :P

29 February 2008, 8:48 PM (4 years ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Eddie:

Microsoft Zune - The best portable multimedia device that has ever existed.

29 February 2008, 8:48 PM (4 years ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Jinzo.pk3:

Nope. still costs too much. I couldn't pay $400 for a phone / media player and whever else is in the iPhone.
Of course they wouldn't have it at $400 to start with when they could put it $200 higher. People are going to buy it as soon as it is released, so even apple will try to squeeze a bit more money out of these guys buy overpricing it initially. They probably had this price drop planned before it was released.

29 February 2008, 8:32 PM (4 years ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

TomB:

At $400, it's a bargain for what it does. It is priced below the more expensive smartphones, and packs considerably more utility.

29 February 2008, 8:48 PM (4 years ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Trevor:

"role out"?

29 February 2008, 8:32 PM (4 years ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

MAtt:

the ipods are an alright player, once you unteather its relience with itunes. the hardware it self is quite good and usually very robust, but the limitations imposed from the drm/itunes/apple way of doing things makes it a 75% good player.

creative and sony are also in this boat with the need to use managment software makes them crap.

what users of music players usually want at the get go is removable disk mode and drag and drop music access.

many players can do this, the big ones usually can't. this for me is the killer.

rockbox converts the ipod nano i have from a teathered proprietry system, into a universal play almost anything unit. it fills in another 15% that takes it up to 90% good player. 10% would require a standard mini usb with driverless charging

29 February 2008, 8:32 PM (4 years ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Rimsy:

Let's face it, the market that these products are aimed at are dominated by wankers, who wouldn't know a good product if it hit them in the face, so the actual capabilities of the iPods compared with other players are largely redundant. The Apple marketing team on the other hand are nigh geniuses in that they understand their target and use hype and the impression that iPods are 'cool' to sell products by the truckload. Remember, you can sell a crap product with good marketing but you can't sell a good product with crap marketing, something that Microsoft also excel at when it comes to Windows. Personally, I think the iPhone could be a fantastic product, it looks great and is simple to use but it's what's under the hood that matters most to me and it falls short here. In typical Apple style, they want to control how I use their products, which is a big turn off. I don't want to use iTunes, I just want to be able to drag and drop, but Apple force me to use it. That's a deal breaker for me. I just got a new phone that I didn't pay a cent for and it does everything that an iPod does and I don't have to use iTunes and it's also a phone, so why would I ever buy an iPod? I don't want to watch movies on my phone cause I've got a life, so I would never need one. If people want to shell out hundreds of $'s then good for them, but I'm not stupid. In a world of intelligent people, Apple would never make money.

29 February 2008, 8:32 PM (4 years ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Anonymoussdfsdfsdf:

Rimsy, In a world of intelligent people you wouldn't exist. Lucky for you Apple makes money.

29 February 2008, 8:48 PM (4 years ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Anonymous12165484:

As far I see it Rimsy should be president of Mensa because I haven't seen truer word typed. The Ipod is an over priced toy compared to products with way to many restriction.

29 February 2008, 8:48 PM (4 years ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Not4me:

What makes the ipod the best on the market? The fact that it was the first into popular culture? The fact that that to the uninitiated it forces you to download software to your PC that takes over certain applications and convolutes your start up? Why can they not add a radio tuner preinstalled? Even the first mobile I had ten years ago had one. I for one refuse to conform.

29 February 2008, 8:32 PM (4 years ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

justthething84:

itunes is the worst software i've used in a long time. firstly i installed it on a pc. after opening itunes for the 2nd time it said it was installed incorrectly. ah ok. then i purchased 3 tracks after receiving a "503" error for the first one i started getting the shits. THEN after downloading the 3rd song i realised the songs are in some weird m4p format. WTF APPLE.

Not only were they in a shit format they were only 128 bit. This is LESS than CD quality.

After talking to itunes support i have to now go to google and download a converter program to convert them to mp3 - why should i have to do this. itunes should ASK you before you download the songs which format you would like them in.


Itunes is uninstalled and back to limewire for me. Even though apple got my $5.00 im gonna stop using it as of now - its better then spending huge amount of time mucking around with it by getting convertors etc.

29 February 2008, 8:32 PM (4 years ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

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