GPS network could start to fail by 2010

David Flynn22 May 2009, 8:00 AM

Delays in launching new satellites could see the current GPS system start to fail as early as next year – leading to wrong directions, slower signal acquisition and black spots.


Maybe you’d better buy a new street directory just in case. Because one by one, the space borne tin cans which make up our invisible but indispensable GPS network will soon start to wink out as their batteries run dry or ageing components break down.

The US Air Force has a cool US$2 billion for upgrading the new work by launching new satellites so that the original birds can be retired, but although the first launch was slated for early 2007 the satellite still hasn’t left the ground. It’s now slated for lift-off in November this year, putting the GPS upgrade almost three years behind schedule.

A report by the US Government Accountability Office (GAO) claims that due to poor management and a lack of investment (because we all know that US$2bn doesn’t go very far), the oldest GPS satellites could fail next year, and put the entire GPS system into jeopardy.

“In recent years, the Air Force has struggled to successfully build GPS satellites within cost and schedule goals” says the report. “It is uncertain whether the Air Force will be able to acquire new satellites in time to maintain current GPS service without interruption.”

“If not, some military operations and some civilian users could be adversely affected. Such a gap in capability could have wide-ranging impacts on all GPS users.”


Post your comment



Comments

RSS feed Email alert

Ket (New user):

Good news for UBD.

22 May 2009, 9:30 AM (10 months ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Tin (Senior Forumologist):

I doubt civilian operation will be effected. A year ago there were 31 functional satellites running, plus 2 spares. The system needs 24 to have 8 visible at a given location... But 3D positioning only needs 4 visible. That means about half can fail before anyone notices (assuming a smooth random sampling across all the sets).

Military purposes may have problems though. The accuracy required for certain tasks is going to suffer if they can only see 6 for example.

22 May 2009, 10:05 AM (10 months ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Carmar (User):

Gosh! Just imagine, all those people driving huge 4 wheel drives to the supermarket might get lost! How sad. (LOL)

22 May 2009, 4:21 PM (10 months ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

agami (User):

I'll go back to using "The Force", it only has a 2 meter resolution but most roads are wider than that and I have no problem driving on them in my MX-6 :)

22 May 2009, 4:40 PM (10 months ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

The Big Baboo (User):

Ahaa I knew it :):) I'm so glad I kept my old UBD's and my fold up maps so now when those birds start to fall I'll be sitting on top of Ayers Rock which I found with my UBD and with a tinnie in my hand shouting "DIE SUCKERS"

22 May 2009, 4:50 PM (10 months ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

 x  (User):

What are America planning that they need to generate the illusion that the GPS network is failing? And what will they do with this supposed 'black out'?
Or is there a delay in creating a system that will force users to subscribe?

25 May 2009, 11:45 AM (9 months ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Raindog (Senior Forumologist):

Quoting  x :
Or is there a delay in creating a system that will force users to subscribe?

No delay whatsoever, Telstra and others are busy flogging AGPS for all its worth to the unsuspecting consumer desperate to belong to the keep-up set. Why people would pay for something that they can get for nothing amazes me but with tap water selling without question at $3 a bottle there is no question that you can market almost anything.

Quoting  x :
And what will they do with this supposed 'black out'?

If GPS wasn't old tech military wise it would not be so publicly accessible. I don't think too many people are losing too much sleep over a few GPS birds passing their use by.


25 May 2009, 12:05 PM (9 months ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

anonymous user Anonymous user


Tags