Microsoft's vision of tech in 10 years time

Geoff Spick03 March 2009, 9:30 AM

Wonder what tech will be like in 10 years' time? Microsoft has produced a handy video to show you how.


The video, from a recent company presentation at the Wharton Business Technology Conference, shows how Microsoft thinks we might interact with information and the computer in a decade from now.

In the first scene, children draw on plain glass in a logical take from the currently-prototype 'surface' technologies. Then a woman aboard an airliner watches her child's progress in school using her fingers to navigate a scarily thin laptop screen.

You'll recognise the next segment from the movie Minority Report. as a worker drags documents around his screen, but not where he pulls it off the screen onto his all-glass 'notebook' with a flick of the finger to take away with him.

In the background, the time, family photos and stock charts can be seen on the office window, which becomes an extension of today's desktop. This is followed up by a two-piece, all-glass PDA that makes a video phone call. Lost in a large office building, arrow mark guides on the floor tell him where to go, while he remains connected to all his information.

There are lots of familiar elements in the video, documents, Post-it notes and a newspaper, but everything, even the coffee cup has a display and is interactive and connected, sending finished documents around the world, receiving news, monitoring the home and helping the worker and family of the future go about their lives.

Fantasy it may be, for now, but in its own, slightly Disney-esque, way the video doesn't seem to be beyond the bounds of reason for how we will receive and interact with technology in the not too distant future.

You can view the full presentation and speech by Stephen Elop of Microsoft's Business Division by visiting the virtual presskit at Microsoft.

What do you think?


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Tin (Regular user):

640K of RAM, anyone?

My question... How much did this pile of bullcrap cost them to produce?

03 March 2009, 9:48 AM (1 year ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

CBR1100XX (Advanced member):

Quoting Tin:
How much did this pile of bullcrap cost them to produce?

I don't think money has ever been an issue with the MS Marketing juggernaut !
And I thought it was very clever and modern. The younger generation will no doubt think it fully sick !

It pains me to say it, but I'm with Radioactive Boy when it comes to the keyboard command 'interface'




03 March 2009, 11:28 AM (1 year ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Raindog (Senior Forumologist):

Quoting CBR1100XX:
It pains me to say it, but I'm with Radioactive Boy when it comes to the keyboard command 'interface'

Then all that is needed is a better alternative, and nowhere in any if this vision is one presented.
Arcane as the keyboard may be and given its origins span back a century or so ago at the present time nothing looks like being a serious contender to replace it. The mouse evolved a as an enhancement but that has pretty much been the height of development.

After all keyboards are only now replacing written text which has been popular since people first scribed characters into the sides of pyramids.

Who wants to talk at their computer, or make gestures at it like some demented rapper. (Yes I am sure there are the select few.But they are few indeed)

Who knows one day the hardware may even be able to use thought recognition and turn mere ideas into constructional blueprints, but for now and the immediate future there sure doesn't appear to be any contender ready to rid the workspace of that arcane typing device.


03 March 2009, 11:46 AM (1 year ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Me In Oz (Cornerstone member):

Pretty lofty ambitions with plenty of stuff still in the fantasy zone, but hey ! If anyone has the resources and money to make it true, it's MS !
I like the window scene. Makes my view of a 4 foot garden wall outside my window look a little dull

03 March 2009, 10:12 AM (1 year ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Aubrey (Advanced member):

Everything there is already on the drawing board somewhere. I would really like to see a version where a giant 3D paperclip terrorises the office worker.

But the real question for me is whether MS actually helps or hinders technolgical development.

03 March 2009, 10:16 AM (1 year ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Raindog (Senior Forumologist):

Quoting Aubrey:
But the real question for me is whether MS actually helps or hinders technological development.

All to true but to be fair, you could pose that same question towards all the major corporate players as well as towards Microsoft.

Vision is a wonderful thing, it's often these wild ideas that inspire the creation of new technologies.

After watching MS's latest vision I cannot help but think of the old re-runs you see of 1950's news-reels suggesting the kitchens and computers of the future. Almost all the of the technologies suggested in that ancient film came to reality although often in a very different form to the news-real vision. Somehow I think MS's future vision presentation is likely to end up in the same curiosity pile, while technological development goes on.

And the big question remains how many of these elements would we actually want to interact with once the novelty has worn off. Voice recognition for example is now very mature but it has not replaced the keyboard nor has it resulted in rows of cubicle works all dictating their daily fare.

Display enabled coffee cups could become a market reality with ease, although in reality it will more likely be another attention seeker bombarding the user with advertising. Only time will tell.


03 March 2009, 10:56 AM (1 year ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

plutonium210 (Advanced member):

Quoting Aubrey:
Everything there is already on the drawing board somewhere.

What I hope is that technology will encompass the gradual phasing out of a command input that has it's foundations in a 19th century typewriter ........... Death to the keyboard one day hopefully !



03 March 2009, 11:04 AM (1 year ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Tin (Regular user):

It will die one day... But there's tonnes of time left for it yet.
Talking to a computer is a problem for security/confidentiality (imagine the doctor's receptionist announcing every new appointment to the waiting room).
Touch panels still lack tactile feedback, which limits their usefulness for typing words on virtual keyboards.
Handwriting recognition is just painful unless you write very neatly and with precise pressure, etc.
And thought control is some time away yet.

03 March 2009, 8:49 PM (1 year ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Halcon (Advanced member):

The latest stupid vision of Microsoft is totally frightening!
This looks like an scene from "Total Recall".
plutonium210 said "19th century typewriter ........... Death to the keyboard"
I don't think this will happen very soon.
We are living in the 21st Century, not so much have changed.
Monitors are flat and bigger, No more bulky "bricks" sitting in the desk.
Keyboards No longer anymore use cables to attach to the computer.
Mice have no tail just use Infra red frequency same as the keyboards to connect to the computer as well.
Storage has increased amazingly beyond the Terabyte barrier.
Processors are getting nearer to the super computer power.
Memory have increased in size as well.
Then what!
These visions of grandeur are misleading, live the present forget the future, we have got too much to worry with the technology of today, if Microsoft fails to deliver with the next OS, Then they should learn the fact that not always is easy to dupe the user base with another blunder of a product.

03 March 2009, 12:26 PM (1 year ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

plutonium210 (Advanced member):

Quoting Halcon:
live the present forget the future,

There is no need to tell me that MS are a greedy bunch of vultures !

But I think if this is truly your belief (and not a bad piece of software translation) then I don't think you should be reading a technology based news site !




03 March 2009, 12:45 PM (1 year ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Your Average Joe (Cornerstone member):

Quoting Halcon:
These visions of grandeur are misleading, live the present forget the future, we have got too much to worry with the technology of today,

And it's all Microsoft's fault, right ?

Tell me this is a gee-up !




03 March 2009, 12:52 PM (1 year ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Raindog (Senior Forumologist):

Quoting Halcon:
live the present forget the future, we have got too much to worry with the technology of today,

That is easier said than done. Our present is very much filled with developments for now and well into the future.

Quoting Halcon:
if Microsoft fails to deliver with the next OS

I'd agree that recent offerings from MS have been not much other than spinning their own wheels, but that does not make this vision from MS impossible or undeliverable.

I do no subscribe to what I see as your narrow vision of what is possible (from MS or anyone else)but you are entitled to your point of view.

It is no-ones place but yours to decide how whether you should read and/or participate in a technology based website.




03 March 2009, 1:03 PM (1 year ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

TV Bis (User):

Over the years and even now what is and was classed as science fiction has become science fact.
If you had shown a video about mobile phones, their networks, Pc’s and even the Internet twenty or thirty years ago they would have said “Science Fiction”, it will never become reality but guess what it has!
Looking at this video you would say a lot of it is far fetched but not when you put it in to context with how the electronics world is moving ahead.
MS vision is based around what their developing now so to think that it will not become fact in some form is being a bit negative. I am not saying that everything shown will be available in ten years; I would give a more realistic figure of 20 to 30 years and then only the more practical parts will emerge.


03 March 2009, 12:48 PM (1 year ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

agami (User):

I don't see the point on disagreeing on anything in this one particular vision of the information future 10 years from now. It's mostly a wishlist based around wide adoption of currently available technologies, and before someone says something about the mobile device I said “mostly”.

Back in Q1 of 1999 if showed someone a video of an iPhone concept it would have been seen as more implausible than what's presented in this video.

What I did like about the video is that a fictional Sydney based company was used. Call me an Australian chauvinist if you will but it looks good in the presentation when animated arrows leave Sydney for multiple world destinations. It could have been almost any country in the world but MS chose Australia. Before anyone jumps on the Federal Government / Stephen Conroy bash wagon it's enough to say that regardless of the successive governments over the past 10 years, technologically we have come a long way, and there's no reason to think we couldn't match it, if not better it, over the next 10.

03 March 2009, 1:09 PM (1 year ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Raindog (Senior Forumologist):

Quoting agami:
Before anyone jumps on the Federal Government / Stephen Conroy bash wagon it's enough to say that regardless of the successive governments over the past 10 years, technologically we have come a long way, and there's no reason to think we couldn't match it, if not better it, over the next 10.

Too true! We have come a very long way in a few years, mostly despite government (both past and present). Without getting into a government bash it is still a good opportunity to reflect on just how much further we could have got with governments with similar vision.

An arch bridge across Sydney Harbour was once a vision of the future as were many other seemingly impossible projects. As much as I believe MS often lacks vision they are still light years ahead of our politicians.



03 March 2009, 1:27 PM (1 year ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Halcon (Advanced member):

Quoting agami:
It could have been almost any country in the world but MS chose Australia

Sure, Australia is the guinea pig for all the products, if people buy some of them, then it will be released over the world; if that not happen, then is a complete failure and will not be marketed around the world.
To name a few: DVD, Ipod, Blu Ray etc.
Australia will never cease to get the latest and greatest gizmo, even if it does not work.


03 March 2009, 2:19 PM (1 year ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

plutonium210 (Advanced member):

Quoting Halcon:
Sure, Australia is the guinea pig for all the products, if people buy some of them, then it will be released over the world; if that not happen, then is a complete failure and will not be marketed around the world.

To name a few: DVD, Ipod, Blu Ray etc.
Australia will never cease to get the latest and greatest gizmo, even if it does not work.


You think that Australia with its 20 million population is the testing ground for new tech ?
And that product marketing depends on what Aussies buy ?
Come on Halcon, let us in on the secret where you come from because you know stuff all about the Australian 'market' !




03 March 2009, 2:25 PM (1 year ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Halcon (Advanced member):

Quoting plutonium210:
Australia with its 20 million population is the testing ground for new tech And that product marketing depends on what Aussies buy ?

Correct! Many Australian publications have mentioned this.
The defunct "Communique" Magazine (a Microsoft propagandistic publication) mentioned this aspect.
Other publications including the APC sibling "PC USER" Magazine have mentioned this as well.

03 March 2009, 11:02 PM (1 year ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Me In Oz (Cornerstone member):

Quoting Halcon:
Australia is the guinea pig for all the products ...
To name a few: DVD, Ipod, Blu Ray etc. ......
Australia will never cease to get the latest and greatest gizmo, even if it does not work. .....

No facetiousness or sarcasm intended, but do you actually live in Australia, Halcon ?




03 March 2009, 2:31 PM (1 year ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Raindog (Senior Forumologist):

Quoting Me In Oz:
but do you actually live in Australia, Halcon ?

It is not really important where Halcon lives, resides or posts from.
But like yourself I have trouble accepting his suggestion of Australia being the perennial guinea pig for new technologies.


Quoting Halcon:
Sure, Australia is the guinea pig for all the products, if people buy some of them, then it will be released over the world; if that not happen, then is a complete failure and will not be marketed around the world.

Halcon do you have anything to support this claim?

03 March 2009, 2:47 PM (1 year ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Me In Oz (Cornerstone member):

Quoting Raindog:
It is not really important where Halcon lives, resides or posts from.

I wasn't criticising his possible ethnic origins, but his knowledge of the Aussie 'market' !




03 March 2009, 2:55 PM (1 year ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Halcon (Advanced member):

Quoting Raindog:
Halcon do you have anything to support this claim?

Yes, several Tech publications did said it so, even a newspaper supplement for computers and electronics said it so.
To all, I am Australian, live in NSW, in a very nice suburb.
I am studying to become an IT.
I have experienced frustrations using computers and software.
The one that makes my life miserable is Microsoft, I wish instead of bashing the computer to smack down the bastards of MS.
Software is totally expensive here today, useless tomorrow.
You can't justify this excess.
If programmers making a living, they should do so, but don't charge too much for an useless crap of software.
Again if Microsoft or any other software company want to make software, that's fine, however is unacceptable that prices are too high for a product that will be sold again with minor improvements on its code.

03 March 2009, 6:21 PM (1 year ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Raindog (Senior Forumologist):

Quoting Halcon:
Yes, several Tech publications did said it so

Not wanting to labour the point, but some specific examples could help.

Quoting Halcon:
however is unacceptable that prices are too high for a product that will be sold again with minor improvements on its code.

A lot believe that software pricing is questionable as are the marketing tactics of some of the larger players. In this regard I am quite critical of MS. But this thread and the title article are more about visions for the future.

How MS continues into that future and what market influence they hold in ten years will depend upon their progress through this and future years. Please try to understand this future gazing is a separate issue from performance and pricing of current releases.


03 March 2009, 7:15 PM (1 year ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Halcon (Advanced member):

Quoting Raindog:
But this thread and the title article are more about visions for the future

sure, but even the predictions of the meteorologists are prone to fail, why we should rely on presumptions.
It would be not wise for the writers of any computer magazine to go and ask for the service of a clairvoyant to seek what is ahead in the future, they would be ripped off.
leave the crystal ball lunacy out of sight, these things are just fairy tales nothing else.

03 March 2009, 10:47 PM (1 year ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

plutonium210 (Advanced member):

Quoting Halcon:
these things are just fairy tales nothing else.

[Sitting here scratching my head]
I know some of the MS presentation is a little way off yet, but most of it is quite credible !
I'm not a fan of MS either, but surely you can see that what you are saying is way off the mark here !




03 March 2009, 11:01 PM (1 year ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Hemma (User):

Quoting Halcon:
if people buy some of them, then it will be released over the world; if that not happen, then is a complete failure and will not be marketed around the world.

Reeeaaaallllllyy? Are we talking about the same Australia?

03 March 2009, 2:43 PM (1 year ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

AtticusFinch (User):

Very good presentation, filled with visionary ideas. Most are quite feasible and practical in the not too distant future.

03 March 2009, 1:23 PM (1 year ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

tim2hawkes (User):

its possible look at the peice of crap iphones width and put windows mobile on it then active sync or manager and boom its done

03 March 2009, 6:06 PM (1 year ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

Michael J (Cornerstone member):

this looks more like science fiction movie trailer than the "not to distant future"!!!

07 March 2009, 6:14 PM (1 year ago)report abuse Send to a friend reply

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